LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2026

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 3, 2026

Updated Mar 4, 2026 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

When it comes to offense, the Lakers's fantastic 117.7 points per game on their home court measures as the 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games.
This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 5.4 three attempts per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Pelicans, marking this as a strong matchup.
The Pelicans have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers.
The matchup vs. the Pelicans may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (10th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The 6th-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 9.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

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