LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2025

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 28, 2025

Updated Nov 29, 2025 4:09 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-107/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lakers have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The 6th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Mavericks is a difficult one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4).
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Dallas is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 1.6 free throws per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are on the road (2nd-least in the NBA).

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