LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 12, 2025 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-118/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has sunk 48.2% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 13.2% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
Out of all players in the league, LeBron James measures in the 96th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 35.1 minutes per game this year.
The Lakers have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Houston is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the Houston Rockets are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.4).
LeBron James has converted 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's put through the net overall this season.

Favors Under

The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.
The Lakers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 9th-most sluggish tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Houston Rockets).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup vs. Houston may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Houston Rockets are the visiting team (2nd-least in the NBA).

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