LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2025

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 9, 2025

Updated Apr 10, 2025 2:05 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, LeBron James comes in at the 97th percentile for field goals hit away from his home court, logging an enormous 9.2 per game this year.
LeBron James has made 58.2% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 22.7% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year.
LeBron James has averaged 35.1 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
With respect to offense, the Los Angeles Lakers's exceptional 123.4 points per game while playing away from home comes in as the 4th-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Lakers have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Dallas is a difficult one for threes; when the Mavericks are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (0.8).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA away from home with a mere 9.1 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
LeBron James figures to experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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