LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2025

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 4, 2025

Updated Apr 5, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-104/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, LeBron James rates in the 99th percentile for field goals converted, logging an enormous 9.4 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, LeBron James slots into the 87th percentile for 3-point shots drained, registering 2.2 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, LeBron James registers in the 96th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 35.2 minutes per game this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from competing against the 10th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
LeBron James has attempted 7.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.3 more than he's attempted overall this season at home.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Pelicans is a hard one for shot attempts from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.1).
The 9th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Lakers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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