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LeBron James

LeBron James Points
Player Prop - 4/3/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors

 
 
 
LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the league, LeBron James slots into the 99th percentile for shots from the field hit, tallying a monstrous 9.3 per game this year.
  • Among all players in the league, LeBron James comes in at the 96th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 35.1 minutes per game this year.
  • This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 47.0% on threes (highest in the league) against the Warriors, creating a strong matchup.
  • LeBron James has made 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.8 higher than he's converted overall this year with the home court advantage.
  • As a team, the Los Angeles Lakers have been great at getting to the charity stripe while on their home court: 3rd-best in the league this year with 24.2 free throws per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 8th-slowest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Lakers.
  • The Lakers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.4 foul shots per game this year (8th-least in the NBA).

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