LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2025

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets · Mar 31, 2025

Updated Apr 1, 2025 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (+102/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, LeBron James places in the 99th percentile for shots from the field scored, logging a massive 9.4 per game this year.
LeBron James has attempted 7.3 treys per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.
LeBron James has averaged 35.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 96th percentile.
This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 2.4 threes per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Rockets, designating this as a favorable matchup.
The 10th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

Favors Under

The Rockets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Lakers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 4thworst in in the NBA playing at home with a mere 9.7 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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