LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2025

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 29, 2025

Updated Mar 30, 2025 1:29 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, LeBron James ranks in the 97th percentile for field goals made while playing away from home, posting a monstrous 9.2 per game this year.
LeBron James has attempted 5.5 shots from downtown per game on the road this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league.
LeBron James has averaged 35.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 95th percentile.
When it comes to scoring, the Lakers's excellent 115.0 points per game as the away team rates 10th-best in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Memphis is a strong one; when the Memphis Grizzlies have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 9th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs this year (15.8).

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 7th-most lethargic tempo in the league while playing on the road this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted just 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 12 games (3rd-least in the NBA).
LeBron James stands to suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this contest.

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