LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2025

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 22, 2025

Updated Mar 23, 2025 2:24 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has attempted 20.5 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted overall this year.
LeBron James has attempted 8.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.8 more than he's attempted overall this season at home.
LeBron James has averaged 34.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 95th percentile.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the league on the road this year, which should raise opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers.
LeBron James has attempted 6.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 2.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

Favors Under

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 11.5 field goal attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Bulls, identifying this as a tough matchup.
The 5th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Lakers check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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