LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2025

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 4, 2025

Updated Mar 5, 2025 2:49 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, LeBron James lands in the 99th percentile for shots from the field drained, posting an enormous 9.5 per game this year.
LeBron James has converted 3.1 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's converted over the course of the year.
Out of all players in the league, LeBron James comes in at the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 34.9 minutes per game playing at home this year.
In regard to 3-pointers, the Lakers's stellar 36.9% rate of drained threes while playing at home ranks 10th-highest in the NBA this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from competing against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans is a hard one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.1).
The 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.

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