LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2025

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 22, 2025

Updated Feb 23, 2025 1:43 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has compiled 30.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 higher than he's compiled in all games this year.
LeBron James has successfully made 4.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's made in all games this year.
Out of all players in the league, LeBron James comes in at the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 34.7 minutes per game this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games away from home.
The 5th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 3.7 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Nuggets, marking this as a challenging matchup.
The Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).
LeBron James will likely suffer a reduction in output for all stats due to being on the road in this game.

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