LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 2/20/2025

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 20, 2025

Updated Feb 21, 2025 4:44 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, LeBron James comes in at the 97th percentile for field goals converted when playing on the road, posting a monstrous 9.2 per game this year.
LeBron James has converted 3.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season.
LeBron James has averaged 34.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 94th percentile.
The Lakers have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Portland is a tough one for shots from the field; when the Trail Blazers are at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged the least FG attempts per game in the league this year (8.4).
The Lakers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).
The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
LeBron James will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production for all stats.

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