LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 2/19/2025

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Charlotte Hornets · Feb 19, 2025

Updated Feb 20, 2025 3:03 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-106/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has logged 28.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's logged over the course of the year.
LeBron James has sunk 3.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
LeBron James has tallied 34.5 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Charlotte Hornets is a strong one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have shot for the highest FG% in the league this year (55.8%).

Favors Under

The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Lakers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 4thworst in in the NBA at home with a mere 9.0 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup vs. Charlotte is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game this year when the Hornets are on the road (3rd-least in the NBA).

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