LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2025

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 27, 2025

Updated Jan 28, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, LeBron James rates in the 97th percentile for field goals converted, putting up an enormous 9.1 per game this year.
LeBron James has averaged 34.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 94th percentile.
Over the last 24 games when they are away from home, opposing starting SFs have totaled 16.4 points per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Hornets, creating a good matchup for offensive production.
Relative to last season's 1.4 mark, LeBron James's off-target free throw attempts have regressed this season to 1.0 per game.
As a team, the Los Angeles Lakers have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe: 8th-best in the NBA this year with 22.9 free throw attempts per game.

Favors Under

The Lakers have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
LeBron James will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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