LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2025

reorder

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Boston Celtics · Jan 23, 2025

Updated Jan 24, 2025 2:50 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, LeBron James ranks in the 97th percentile for field goals scored, compiling a monstrous 9.1 per game this year.
LeBron James has converted 3.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 more than he's converted overall this year while on his home court.
LeBron James has played 34.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Lakers rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games when playing at home.
Among all players in the league, LeBron James ranks in the 89th percentile for drawing fouls, compiling an enormous 4.1 free throw attempts per game at home this year.

Favors Under

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have registered 14.5 points per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Celtics, branding this as a difficult matchup for offensive productivity.
The 3rd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Boston is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 3.1 foul shots per game this year when the Celtics are on the road (8th-least in the league).