LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2025

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Washington Wizards · Jan 21, 2025

Updated Jan 22, 2025 3:24 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has made 63.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 9.3% more than he's sunk over the course of the year while on his home court.
LeBron James has made 3.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season while on his home court.
LeBron James has played 34.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
In regard to 3-pointers, the Los Angeles Lakers's stellar 38.6% rate of made threes on their home court comes in as the 4th-most in the league over the last 15 games.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have notched 18.6 points per game (9th-most in the league) vs. the Wizards, designating this as a favorable matchup for offensive performance.

Favors Under

The most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
In contrast to last season's 5.7 rate, LeBron James's number of foul shot attempts has diminished this season to 4.2 foul shot attempts per game.

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