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LeBron James

LeBron James Points
Player Prop - 1/15/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, LeBron James lands in the 97th percentile for shots from the field converted, registering a massive 9.1 per game this year.

LeBron James has successfully made 3.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season.

Among all players in the NBA, LeBron James measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 34.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year.

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 43.4% on threes (2nd-best in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, creating a good matchup.

The Lakers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

LeBron James has been called for 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for in all games this season.

In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Lakers.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Lakers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league this year (the Heat).

Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, struggling to draw fouls.

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