LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2025

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 2, 2025

Updated Jan 3, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has attempted 20.4 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
LeBron James has tallied 35.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 94th percentile.
When it comes to shooting, the Los Angeles Lakers's superb 116.5 points per game as the home team places 7th-strongest in the league over the last 15 games.
LeBron James has made 93.8% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 12.8% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
LeBron James will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to raise stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a tough one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 4th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (29.6%).
The 4th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Lakers.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Lakers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with just 8.1 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup vs. Portland may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Portland Trail Blazers are the visiting squad (2nd-least in the NBA).

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