LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings · Dec 28, 2024

Updated Dec 29, 2024 2:26 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to shooting, the Lakers's impressive 115.8 points per game on their home court comes in as the 8th-best in the league this year.
The matchup against the Kings is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most treys per game in the NBA this year (2.3).
The Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Lakers.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

The 8th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Lakers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the league on their home court with only 7.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

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