LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 24, 2024 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (+104/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has attempted 21.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Among all players in the league, LeBron James lands in the 79th percentile for threes scored with the home court advantage, logging 2.1 per game this year.
LeBron James has tallied 35.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 93rd percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year.
This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 45.0% on 3-pointers (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Detroit Pistons, making this a good matchup.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 4thworst in in the league as the home team with only 8.6 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup against Tim Hardaway Jr. is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; when Hardaway Jr. is away from his home court and defending other starting SFs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.0 free throws per game (14th percentile).

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