LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 19, 2024

Updated Dec 20, 2024 3:16 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has attempted 20.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
Among all players in the NBA, LeBron James ranks in the 92nd percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 35.2 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
LeBron James has averaged 1.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (25th percentile).
In terms of scoring, the Lakers's superb 47.3% field goal rate rates 9th-best in the NBA over the last 25 games.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 6.1 three attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, marking this as a strong matchup.

Favors Under

The 4th-least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Lakers.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 6thworst in in the league with a mere 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.
LeBron James has made a mere 3.4 free throws per game this season, quite a bit less than his 4.3 rate last season.
LeBron James will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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