LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 15, 2024

Updated Dec 16, 2024 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has attempted 20.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
LeBron James has successfully made 2.0 shots from downtown per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, LeBron James measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 35.1 minutes per game this year.
The Lakers are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the speediest pace team in the league this year (the Grizzlies).
Among all players in the NBA, LeBron James ranks in the 91st percentile for getting to the charity stripe, compiling a whopping 4.9 free throw attempts per game with the home court advantage this year.

Favors Under

The matchup against Memphis is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; when the Memphis Grizzlies are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 2nd-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.7).
The 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 2ndworst in in the league while at home with only 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Over the last 12 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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