LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 12/6/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 6, 2024

Updated Dec 7, 2024 2:54 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, LeBron James lands in the 94th percentile for shots sunk, averaging a massive 8.5 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, LeBron James places in the 79th percentile for three-point attempts, tallying 5.5 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, LeBron James places in the 91st percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 34.6 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 54.1% on shots from the field (3rd-best in the league) against the Hawks, identifying this as a strong matchup.
The Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers.

Favors Under

The Lakers have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with only 9.1 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
LeBron James will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player production in all stat categories.

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