LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 12/4/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 4, 2024

Updated Dec 5, 2024 4:05 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has attempted 17.3 shots from the field per game this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, LeBron James registers in the 79th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, posting 5.5 per game this year.
LeBron James has been on the court for 35.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
As it relates to offense, the Los Angeles Lakers's outstanding 47.8% field goal rate rates 8th-most in the league over the last 20 games.
This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on threes (best in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a favorable matchup.

Favors Under

The least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Los Angeles Lakers.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.1 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).
LeBron James figures to experience a decrease in performance for all stats considering being on the road in this game.

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