LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 11/23/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 23, 2024

Updated Nov 24, 2024 3:14 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+102/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -134 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has made 8.8 buckets per game this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league.
LeBron James has converted 2.4 3-point shots per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league.
LeBron James has averaged 35.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 93rd percentile.
As it relates to scoring, the Lakers's superb 121.6 points per game while on their home court settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on 3-pointers (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, designating this as a favorable matchup.

Favors Under

The Lakers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA).

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