LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 1, 2024

Updated Nov 1, 2024 11:39 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has successfully made 9.6 buckets per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, LeBron James rates in the 84th percentile for three-pointers scored, totaling 2.1 per game since the start of last season.
Among all players in the league, LeBron James registers in the 96th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 35.6 minutes per game since the start of last season.
With respect to shooting, the Los Angeles Lakers's superb 117.3 points per game settles in as the 7th-most in the league since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. the Toronto Raptors is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 5th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.9).

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.7 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.
LeBron James will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

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