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LeBron James

LeBron James Points
Player Prop - 4/27/2024

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-145/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

LeBron James has played 40.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's played overall this year.

The Lakers rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing at home.

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have shot 44.8% on 3-pointers (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, creating a strong matchup.

The Lakers have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Lakers are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

LeBron James has attempted just 18.0 field goals per game this season, significantly lower than his 21.3 mark last season.

LeBron James has attempted just 5.1 treys per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 6.8 rate last season.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the league).

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