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LeBron James

LeBron James Points
Player Prop - 4/22/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+100/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • LeBron James has registered 29.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.0 higher than he's registered overall this year.
  • LeBron James has sunk a whopping 39.9% of his 3-point attempts this season, significantly more than his 28.9 rate last season.
  • LeBron James has averaged 35.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 97th percentile.
  • The Lakers rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing on the road.
  • The 2nd-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 4th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.7).
  • The Lakers are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from being pitted against the 4th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
  • The Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, finding it difficult to draw fouls.
  • LeBron James figures to experience a decrease in output for all stats on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

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