LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 27, 2024

Updated Mar 28, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-139/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has attempted 7.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road.
LeBron James has averaged 35.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 96th percentile.
The Lakers check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Lakers will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from competing against the 6th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Memphis is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; when the Grizzlies have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 2nd-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.0).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
LeBron James stands to see a decline in effectiveness in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this contest.

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