LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

LA Clippers vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has converted 60.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 19.0% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year.
LeBron James has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 96th percentile.
With respect to scoring, the Lakers's superb 122.9 points per game comes in as the 2nd-most in the league over the last 20 games.
The 2nd-quickest pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Lakers.
Out of all players in the NBA, LeBron James slots into the 94th percentile for drawing fouls, tallying a whopping 5.4 foul shot attempts per game this year.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 6.8 mark, LeBron James's shot attempts from downtown have decreased this season to 5.3 per game.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 0.9 3-pointers per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers, resulting in a hard matchup.
The LA Clippers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Lakers.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have grabbed 12.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Clippers (retaining possessions that can produce added opportunities for offense).

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