LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 3:38 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
The 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Lakers.
The Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league this year, which should boost possessions for the Lakers.
The matchup vs. San Antonio may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 3.9 foul shots per game over the last 24 games when the San Antonio Spurs are the visiting squad (27th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 10.7 mark, LeBron James's field goals made have tailed off this season to 9.3 per game.
LeBron James has attempted a mere 5.3 3-pointers per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 6.8 mark last season.
LeBron James has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (95th percentile).
The matchup against the Spurs is a difficult one; they have allowed the 11th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 15 games (15.8).
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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