LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 22, 2024 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lakers check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Warriors have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers.

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
On their home court, the Warriors have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Golden State Warriors are playing at home, their opposition has attempted a colossal 27.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (most in the NBA).

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