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LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-109/-119).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -109.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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LeBron James has been on the court for 40.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.As it relates to scoring, the Lakers's outstanding 123.0 points per game rates 2nd-highest in the league over the last 15 games.The matchup against Denver is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have compiled the 26th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (44.8%).The most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.Out of all players in the NBA, LeBron James lands in the 93rd percentile for getting to the foul line, putting up a massive 5.2 foul shot attempts per game while at home this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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In contrast to last year's 10.7 mark, LeBron James's shots hit have been reduced this year to 9.4 per game.Compared to last season's 6.8 mark, LeBron James's shot attempts from downtown have declined this season to 5.3 per game.The Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers.The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).Over the last 5 games when they are at home, their opposition has secured 11.6 offensive boards per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can produce additional chances for offense).
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