LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 1/30/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 30, 2024

Updated Jan 31, 2024 3:52 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has compiled 31.8 points per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 4.8 higher than he's compiled overall this season on the road.
Out of all players in the NBA, LeBron James lands in the 85th percentile for three-point shots hit, totaling 2.1 per game this year.
LeBron James has tallied 34.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 94th percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 54.1% on field goal attempts (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, creating a strong matchup.

Favors Under

The Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Atlanta Hawks have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
LeBron James ought to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board due to being on the road in this game.

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