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LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-110).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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LeBron James has averaged 34.0 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.In regard to scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's excellent 118.4 points per game on their home court places 10th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games.The 3rd-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Lakers.The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers.Among all players in the league, LeBron James rates in the 91st percentile for getting to the free-throw line, posting an enormous 5.2 free throw attempts per game when playing at home this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Relative to last season's 10.7 clip, LeBron James's shots from the field made have regressed this season to 9.3 per game.LeBron James has attempted a lowly 5.3 treys per game this season, significantly less than his 6.8 mark last season.The matchup against Portland is a hard one; when the Trail Blazers are on the road, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (12.1).Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 7.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has snagged 11.6 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Portland Trail Blazers (retaining possessions that can produce further chances for offense).
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