LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 21, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 7:29 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a hard one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (106.7).
The 3rd-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
As a team, the Los Angeles Lakers have been terrific at getting to the foul line in recent days: 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing away from home with 23.4 free throw attempts per game.

Favors Under

The Lakers will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 8th-most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted a colossal 24.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (9th-most in the league).

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