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LeBron James

LeBron James Points
Player Prop - 12/13/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Lakers

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lakers rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games.

The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace away offense in the NBA this year (the San Antonio Spurs).

On the road, the San Antonio Spurs have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.5) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This matchup is a favorable one for threes; opposing clubs have shot for the 2nd-highest three rate in the league this year (38.8%).

Offensive rebounds save possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the league away from their home court with just 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has attempted 26.6 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Spurs, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

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