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LeBron James

LeBron James Points
Player Prop - 11/19/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, LeBron James comes in at the 86th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 33.2 minutes per game this year.

Among all players in the league, LeBron James comes in at the 18th percentile for personal fouls, registering just 1.2 fouls per game away from home this year.

The Lakers check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Over the last 5 games when they are at home, their opposition has secured 9.0 offensive boards per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (minimizing possessions that could otherwise bring about added opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

LeBron James has attempted a lowly 16.8 shots from the field per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 21.3 mark last year.

Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 45.4% on field goals (14th-worst in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, creating a hard matchup.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the league at home this year, which should reduce plays for the Lakers.

The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Compared to last year's 74.6% mark, LeBron James's foul-shot proficiency has regressed this year to 63.9%.

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