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LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-135/+105).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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LeBron James has tallied 34.7 minutes per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.In terms of scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's exceptional 49.0% field goal percentage while on the road rates 8th-most in the league this year.This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have put up 23.2 points per game (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, making this a favorable matchup for offensive productivity.This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have captured 10.0 offensive boards per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce added chances for offense).This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.2 free throws per game (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, finding it easy to get to the foul line.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Compared to last season's 21.3 rate, LeBron James's shots taken have regressed this season to 17.0 per game.Among all players in the league, LeBron James measures in the 79th percentile for technical fouls, compiling a massive 0.0 fouls per game this year.The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Lakers.The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).Compared to last year's 74.6% mark, LeBron James's foul-shot proficiency has decreased this year to 62.5%.
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