LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 3:23 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has tallied 33.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have compiled 19.2 points per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Suns, branding this as a strong matchup for offensive performance.
As a team, the Los Angeles Lakers have been great at getting to the free-throw line: 8th-best in the league this year, tallying 24.5 foul shots per game.
The matchup against Phoenix is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 4.1 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Phoenix Suns are away from home (29th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 27.9 clip, LeBron James's points per game have dropped this year to 24.4.
LeBron James has tallied 0.0 technical fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the NBA in their home city this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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