LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has sunk a whopping 10.5 baskets per game this season, a significant increase from his 10.9 mark last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, LeBron James measures in the 98th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 35.8 minutes per game since the start of last season.
When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Los Angeles Lakers's superb 26.2 free throws per game when playing at home measures as the best in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled 11.5 points per game (11th-lowest in the league) against the Rockets, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive productivity.
The Lakers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Rockets).
The Lakers have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Compared to last season's 4.7 mark, LeBron James's foul shots drained have dropped this season to 3.0 per game.
The matchup vs. Houston is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 0.8 foul shots per game this year when the Houston Rockets are on the road (15th-least in the NBA).

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