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LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-150/+115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -150.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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LeBron James has been on the court for 42.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season.The Lakers rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).While playing away from home, the Nuggets have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).Relative to last season's 74.8% mark, LeBron James's free-throw performance has risen this season to 79.7%.The matchup against Denver may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 5.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games when the Nuggets are on their home court (30th-most in the league).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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LeBron James has sunk just 2.1 treys per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 2.9 mark last year.Relative to his full-season clip of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1) fouls per home game, LeBron James's rate of technical fouls has increased by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) per game over the last 10 games playing at home.The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year in regard to treys.The matchup against Denver is a difficult one; when the Nuggets are on their home court, they have given up the 11th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (13.6).The 9th-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.
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