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LeBron James

LeBron James Points
Player Prop - 5/20/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

LeBron James has averaged 40.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 more than he's averaged overall this year.

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA this year.

LeBron James has converted 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

LeBron James will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to improves player performance in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

LeBron James has attempted a mere 6.8 treys per game this season, significantly less than his 8.0 rate last season.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs this year (13.6).

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Lakers.

The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Away from their home court, the Nuggets have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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