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LeBron James

LeBron James Points
Player Prop - 5/18/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

LeBron James has attempted 21.3 shots per game this year, ranking in the 100th percentile among all players in the league.

LeBron James has played 35.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 97th percentile.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year.

The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

The Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (6.8) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

LeBron James has sunk just 2.1 shots from downtown per game this season, quite a bit less than his 2.9 mark last season.

The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league while on the road this year as it relates to treys.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs this year (13.5).

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Lakers.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.2 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the league).

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