LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 5/6/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · May 6, 2023

Updated May 5, 2023 8:16 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has attempted 21.0 field goals per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
LeBron James has averaged 35.0 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Warriors have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

LeBron James has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's tallied overall this year at home.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of three-pointers.
The matchup against the Warriors is a challenging one; they have allowed the 9th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs over the last 20 games (13.3).
The Warriors have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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