LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 4/22/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 22, 2023

Updated Apr 23, 2023 1:21 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has attempted 8.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
LeBron James has played 34.7 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games without the home court advantage, which ought to increase opportunities for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a difficult one for field goals; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 14th-least field goals per game in the NBA this year (5.0).
The Grizzlies have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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