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LeBron James

LeBron James Points
Player Prop - 4/5/2023

LA Clippers vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • LeBron James has attempted 22.2 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • LeBron James has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 97th percentile.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
  • Playing at home, the Clippers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league away from home this year as it relates to shots from downtown.
  • The matchup against Los Angeles is a tough one for threes; when the Clippers are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have put up the 14th-lowest three rate in the league this year (28.5%).
  • The Clippers have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Lakers.
  • The matchup against Los Angeles is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 foul shots per game this year when the Clippers are on their home court (15th-least in the NBA).
  • LeBron James will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually worsens player production in all stat categories.

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