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LeBron James

LeBron James Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Lakers

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

LeBron James has averaged 35.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 97th percentile.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the speediest pace in the NBA away from their home court this year.

The Jazz have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Lakers.

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

LeBron James has successfully made 86.8% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 13.6% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

LeBron James has attempted a measly 6.7 threes per game this season, significantly less than his 8.0 rate last season.

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year when it comes to 3-point shots.

The matchup against the Jazz is a difficult one for three-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 15th-least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.5).

Playing at home, the Jazz have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

LeBron James will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to worsens stat production for all stats.

More LeBron James Player Props

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