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LeBron James

LeBron James Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2023

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

LeBron James has attempted 22.2 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among all players in the league.

LeBron James has averaged 35.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 97th percentile.

The matchup against the Rockets is a favorable one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SFs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.0).

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league when playing away from home this year.

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

LeBron James has attempted a mere 6.7 three-point shots per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 8.0 rate last year.

The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year in terms of threes.

The Rockets have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which should reduce plays for the Lakers.

While playing at home, the Rockets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

LeBron James will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decreases stat production across the board.

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