LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 15, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has attempted 22.8 shots per game this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.
LeBron James has successfully made 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.
LeBron James has averaged 35.6 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The matchup against Brandon Ingram is a good one for attempts from beyond the arc; when Ingram is playing on the road and guarding fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 6.4 shots from downtown per game (100th percentile).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year as it relates to treys.
The Pelicans have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Lakers.

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